Predictions are hard....

This makes a lot of sense, as a description of why the present government budget is a bad idea. At least, I thought it was, until the last paragraph, when the author (referring to himself in the third person) says:
The abject moral failure of the new team to identify much less to propose a solution to the End Game is extremely disturbing to the present author. Despite his initial support of President Obama, he increasingly wonders whether we have the right team in place.

I guess maybe the third person thing should have clued me in.....

If the author couldn't see through Obama (who is very plain about what he is), why should I trust his analysis now?